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SUNDAY, MAY 10, 2020

12

Business

A person sits near a boarded up and closed Arc’teryx outdoor clothing store in downtown Seattle. PHOTO: AP

WASHINGTON

(AP)

The

coronavirus crisis has sent United

States (US) unemployment surging

to 14.7 per cent, a level last seen

when the country was in the throes

of the Depression and President

Franklin D Roosevelt was assuring

Americans that the only thing to

fear was fear itself.

And because of government

errors and the particular way the

Labour Department measures the

job market, the true picture is even

worse. By some calculations, the

unemployment rate stands at 23.6

per cent, not far from the Depression

peak of nearly 25 per cent.

The Labour Department said on

Friday that 20.5million jobs vanished

in April in the worst monthly loss on

record, triggered by coast-to-coast

shutdowns of factories, stores, of-

“ices and other businesses.

The breathtaking collapse is

certain to intensify the push-pull

across the US over how and when to

ease stay-at-home restrictions. And

it robs US President Donald Trump

of the ability to point to a strong

economy as he runs for re-election.

“The jobs report from hell is

here,” said Senior Economist at

BMO Capital Markets Sal Guatieri,

“one never seen before and un-

likely to be seen again barring an-

other pandemic or meteor hitting

the Earth.”

On Wall Street, stocks pushed

higher as investors reckoned that

the worst of the job losses are over.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average

gained more than 455 points, or

close to two per cent.

Worldwide, the virus has

infected at least 3.9 million

people and killed over 276,000,

including more than 77,000 in

the US, according to a tally by

Johns Hopkins University based on

of“icial data. White House of“icials

announced that Vice President Mike

Pence’s press secretary has the

coronavirus, the second person at

the complex known to test positive

this week, and said safety protocols

were being stepped up.

The unemployment report

indicated that the vast majority of

those laid off in April — roughly 75

per cent — consider their job loss

temporary, a result of businesses

that were forced to close

suddenly but hope to reopen and

recall staffers.

Whether most of those workers

can return anytime soon, though,

will be determined by how well

policymakers, businesses and the

public deal with the health crisis.

Economists worry it will take years

to recover all the jobs lost.

The meltdown has occurred

with startling speed. In February,

unemployment was at a more than

50-year low of 3.5 per cent, and

the economy had added jobs every

month for a record nine-and-a-half

years. In March, unemployment

was 4.4 per cent.

“In just two months the

unemployment rate has gone

from the lowest rate in 50 years

to the highest rate in almost 90

years,” said Chief Economist at PNC

Financial Gus Faucher.

Nearly all the job growth

achievedduringthe11-yearrecovery

from the “inancial meltdown has

now been lost in one month.

Leslie Calhoun lost his job

cleaning Atlantic City, New Jersey,

casinos after 20 years. He, his wife,

their two daughters and his sister-

in-law are surviving on his wife’s

paycheque fromamedical facility as

he wrestles with an unemployment

system that has paid him nothing

since he applied in March.

“The bills are piling up,” he said.

“We’re eating a lot of ramen noodles

and hot dogs. What I wouldn’t give

for a nice meal of baked chicken

and steak, some fresh vegetables.”

The last time unemployment

was this high was in 1939 at the tail

end of the Depression, before the

US entered World War II.

Trump, who faces the prospect

of high unemployment rates

through the November election,

said the “igures were “no surprise”

and later added that he’s in “no

rush” to negotiate another “inancial

rescue bill.

An emerging Democratic aid

package is expected to include

eye-popping sums, centred on

nearly USD1 trillion that states and

cities are seeking to prevent mass

layoffs as governments reel from

the one-two punch of skyrocketing

pandemic costs and dismal tax

receipts in the shuttered economy.

The nonpartisan Congressional

Budget Of“ice has projected that

the jobless rate will still be 9.5 per

cent by the end of 2021.

As bad as Friday’s numbers

were, they don’t capture the full

magnitude of the devastation.

In a sort of footnote, the Labour

Department acknowledged that its

US unemployment surges to a Depression-era

level of 14.7pc

survey-takers erroneously classi“ied

millions of Americans as employed

inApril even though their employers

had closed down. If they had been

counted correctly, unemployment

would have been nearly 20 per

cent, the government said.

However,

the

Labour

Department doesn’t change the

results submitted by its survey-

takers because that could be seen

as political manipulation.

Also, people who are out of

work but aren’t actually looking for

a new job are not of“icially counted

as unemployed. An estimated 6.4

million people “it that description

last month, probably because they

saw little prospect of “inding work

given the shutdowns.

Counting them as unemployed

would push the rate up further,

to almost 24 per cent, accord-

ing to calculations by Economist

Heidi Shierholz at the Economic

Policy Institute.

Though some businesses are

beginning to reopen in certain

states, factories, hotels, restaurants,

resorts, sporting venues, movie

theatres andmany small businesses

are still largely shuttered. The

government is dispensing nearly

USD3 trillion to help households

and businesses pull through,

including

USD1,200-per-person

relief checks and an extra USD600

in weekly unemployment bene“its.

Trump has pushed aggressively

to get businesses up and running

again amid warnings from health

experts that easing up too soon

could lead to a deadly second wave

of infections.

Critics of the coronavirus

response have included Dr Rick

Bright, who was ousted from a

government research agency after

raising concerns over use of an

unproven drug that Trump touted

as a remedy for COVID¢19. Federal

investigators found “reasonable

grounds” that he was punished

for speaking out and should be

reinstated, his lawyers said.

As Election Day nears, the

president will be judged on how

he handles not just the economic

crisis but the health one.

Just months ago, the Trump

campaign planned to hammer its

Democratic opponent this spring

with negative ads while touting

the strong economy. But since the

outbreak, the re-election team has

grown increasingly worried about

Trump’s standing in key states such

as Michigan, Wisconsin and Florida.

More than one-“ifth of Michigan’s

workers are on unemployment.

Former Vice President Joe

Biden, meanwhile, has seized on the

crisis as part of his overall attempt

to cast Trump as caring only about

the wealthiest Americans.

In Europe, this week the

Bank of England projected that

Britain will see its biggest annual

economic decline since 1706.

Unemployment in the 19-country

eurozone is expected to surpass

10 per cent in coming months

as more people are laid off. That

“igure is expected to remain lower

than the US rate, in part because

millions of workers in places

such as France and Germany are

staying on payrolls with the help

of government aid that covers

much of their salaries.

Over the past seven weeks, an

estimated 33.5 million Americans

have “iled for unemployment

bene“its. Friday’s job-loss report

is based on a mid-April survey of

businesses and households and

takes into account the hiring surge

at companies like Amazon and

many grocery stores.

Minorities and poor people

have suffered the most from

the shutdown. Job losses were

especially severe among Latinos,

whose unemployment rate leaped

to 18.9 per cent from six per cent in

March. The African-American rate

jumped to 16.7 per cent, while for

whites it rose to 14.2 per cent.

SHANGHAI (XINHUA) - Interna-

tional hospitality groups are grad-

ually resuming full operations in

China as the country has entered

the phase of regular epidemic

prevention and control.

As of Friday, all of Hilton’s

250 hotels in China’s mainland

have resumed business, said

Area President for Hilton Greater

China and Mongolia Qian Jin

adding that there were 150

Hilton hotels temperately closed

to new bookings during the

COVID¢19 outbreak.

“Reopening all our hotels in the

Chinesemainland is the “irst step in a

measured global recovery process,”

said President and CEO of Hilton

Chris Nassetta. “We are con“ident

that there are brighter days ahead.”

Over 98 per cent of over 470

hotels of InterContinental Hotels

Group PLC (IHG) in China had been

in operations since May 5, even

though nearly one-third of them

were once temporarily closed due

to the epidemic, according to Chief

Executive Of“icer of IHG Greater

China Jolyon Bulley, adding that

hotels in the pipeline have also re-

sumed construction work.

“China is IHG’s second-largest

market and the fastest growing one.

We’re con“ident of the long-term

outlook of China’s hospitality indus-

try,” he said.

According to Bulley, the de-

velopment of urbanisation, in-

creasing disposable income of

residents, and the improvement

of tourism infrastructure and oth-

er factors will promote the con-

tinuous growth of China’s hotel

market demand.

International hotel groups gradually resume full operations in China